BY
ED GEORGE
LEON — The February 15 anti-war mobilisations were huge all over
the world; in the Spanish state they were truly enormous. If one tots up
the 1.5 million who marched in Madrid with the 1 million plus in Barcelona,
and then add in the hundreds of thousands who took to the streets in cities
such as Seville and Valencia, and the tens of thousands in countless other
Spanish towns, one realises that there must have been around 4 million
— an unprecedented one in 10 of the population — marching on that day in
Spain.
Trouble was looming for the conservative Partido Popular (PP) government
of Jose Maria Aznar as early as the beginning of this month when the Goyas,
the Spanish version of the Oscars, turned into a veritable anti-war protest,
as the Spanish cinema glitterati declared itself almost unanimously against
the government.
The Aznar government has found itself almost completely isolated over
the war issue: not only have the major trade union federations and the
Communist Party come out against the war, but the February 15 mobilisations
were also backed by the Spanish Socialist Party (PSOE).
Within the European Union, Spain forms a key part, along with Italy
and Britain, of a pro-US imperialism axis. Indeed, Aznar often tries to
boost his kudos as a world statesman by public references to ``mi amigo
Tony Blair''. And when newly elected US President George Bush junior made
his first visit to Europe, Spain was his first port of call on the reasoning
that, no matter how tough things might get later, at least in Spain he
was sure of a soft landing and an easy ride.
Yet the February 15 mobilisations are only one indication of the difficulties
facing the Aznar government. The rot began to set in with the Prestige
supertanker oil-spill off the coast of Galicia at the end of last year,
to which the response of the government appeared to be one of complete
disinterest. In addition, since Aznar long ago decided not to present himself
in the next elections as the prime ministerial candidate, over the last
year and a half the PP has suffered unseemly internal warfare over who
will lead the party in the general election early next year.
Unassailable in the opinion polls since it won its first absolute majority
in the Spanish parliament in 2000, the PP has now been overtaken by PSOE,
previously regarded as rudderless, leaderless and peripheral.
Whether the present mobilisations can really be transformed into an
electoral defeat for the PP, and whether this in turn can bring about a
reverse in fortunes for Spanish working people, currently suffering the
highest rates of unemployment and casualisation in the European Union,
will depend upon whether the left and the social movements are prepared
to maintain the spirit of February 15 alive.
From Green Left Weekly, February 26, 2003.
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